Scientific analysis
Probabilistic market analysis
Compare periods, historical percentiles, risk regimes and cross-asset relationships.
Latest calculation
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2026-10-01 06:15:04.43007+02
| Asset | Trend | Regime | Risk | Movement percentile | Volatility percentile | Dominant scenario | Data confidence | Statistical range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent crude oil COM_BRENT | Positive | High volatility | Very high | 82e | 93e | Bull Bear 37.3% · Base 18.2% · Bull 44.4% | 90% | 70.14 – 122.19 USD |
| Bitcoin / US Dollar CRYPTO_BTCUSD | Positive | Positive trend | Very high | 69e | 66e | Bear Bear 43.0% · Base 19.3% · Bull 37.7% | 95% | 67,628.02 – 99,966.63 USD |
| NVIDIA US_NVDA | Neutral | Range | High | 35e | 67e | Bull Bear 32.9% · Base 18.3% · Bull 48.8% | 77% | 163.18 – 255.22 USD |
| Gold METAL_GOLD | Negative | Negative trend | High | 11e | 43e | Bull Bear 34.0% · Base 18.9% · Bull 47.1% | 93% | 3,702.68 – 4,821.02 USD |
| S&P 500 Index INDEX_SP500 | Positive | Positive trend | Moderate | 38e | 44e | Bull Bear 24.7% · Base 20.0% · Bull 55.3% | 92% | 6,991.97 – 8,339.70 USD |
| EUR / USD — US Dollar FX_EURUSD | Neutral | Range | Low | 14e | 4e | Bull Bear 37.6% · Base 21.4% · Bull 41.0% | 93% | 1.10 – 1.18 USD |