Scientific analysis

Probabilistic market analysis

Compare periods, historical percentiles, risk regimes and cross-asset relationships.

Latest calculation success 2026-10-02 05:02:13.749209+02
Asset Trend Regime Risk Movement percentile Volatility percentile Dominant scenario Data confidence Statistical range
Brent crude oil COM_BRENT Positive High volatility Very high 82e 93e Bull Bear 37.3% · Base 18.2% · Bull 44.4% 90% 70.14 – 122.19 USD
Bitcoin / US Dollar CRYPTO_BTCUSD Positive Positive trend Very high 78e 64e Bear Bear 41.6% · Base 20.0% · Bull 38.4% 95% 69,346.82 – 102,413.65 USD
NVIDIA US_NVDA Neutral Range High 35e 67e Bull Bear 32.9% · Base 18.3% · Bull 48.8% 77% 163.18 – 255.22 USD
Gold METAL_GOLD Negative Negative trend High 10e 41e Bull Bear 34.9% · Base 18.8% · Bull 46.3% 93% 3,666.13 – 4,760.59 USD
S&P 500 Index INDEX_SP500 Positive Positive trend Moderate 38e 44e Bull Bear 24.7% · Base 20.0% · Bull 55.3% 92% 6,991.97 – 8,339.70 USD
EUR / USD — US Dollar FX_EURUSD Neutral Range Low 5e 9e Bull Bear 38.6% · Base 20.7% · Bull 40.7% 93% 1.09 – 1.18 USD