Scientific analysis

Probabilistic market analysis

Compare periods, historical percentiles, risk regimes and cross-asset relationships.

Latest calculation success 2026-10-02 05:02:13.749209+02
Asset Trend Regime Risk Movement percentile Volatility percentile Dominant scenario Data confidence Statistical range
Brent crude oil COM_BRENT Positive High volatility Very high 82e 93e Bull Bear 34.9% · Base 18.3% · Bull 46.8% 90% 58.88 – 152.90 USD
Bitcoin / US Dollar CRYPTO_BTCUSD Positive Positive trend Very high 78e 64e Bear Bear 43.7% · Base 19.7% · Bull 36.6% 95% 58,971.08 – 116,170.49 USD
NVIDIA US_NVDA Neutral Range High 35e 67e Bull Bear 29.0% · Base 18.7% · Bull 52.3% 77% 142.93 – 309.77 USD
Gold METAL_GOLD Negative Negative trend High 10e 41e Bull Bear 30.8% · Base 18.3% · Bull 50.9% 93% 3,406.62 – 5,350.52 USD
S&P 500 Index INDEX_SP500 Positive Positive trend Moderate 38e 44e Bull Bear 18.5% · Base 17.5% · Bull 63.9% 92% 6,769.20 – 9,267.59 USD
EUR / USD — US Dollar FX_EURUSD Neutral Range Low 5e 9e Bull Bear 36.1% · Base 21.3% · Bull 42.6% 93% 1.06 – 1.21 USD