Scientific analysis
Probabilistic market analysis
Compare periods, historical percentiles, risk regimes and cross-asset relationships.
Latest calculation
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2026-10-02 05:02:13.749209+02
| Asset | Trend | Regime | Risk | Movement percentile | Volatility percentile | Dominant scenario | Data confidence | Statistical range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent crude oil COM_BRENT | Positive | High volatility | Very high | 82e | 93e | Bull Bear 37.9% · Base 19.8% · Bull 42.3% | 90% | 80.71 – 105.47 USD |
| Bitcoin / US Dollar CRYPTO_BTCUSD | Positive | Positive trend | Very high | 78e | 64e | Bear Bear 40.0% · Base 21.0% · Bull 39.0% | 95% | 77,377.86 – 93,640.59 USD |
| NVIDIA US_NVDA | Neutral | Range | High | 35e | 67e | Bull Bear 36.1% · Base 17.8% · Bull 46.1% | 77% | 180.30 – 224.78 USD |
| Gold METAL_GOLD | Negative | Negative trend | High | 10e | 41e | Bull Bear 35.3% · Base 20.3% · Bull 44.4% | 93% | 3,902.61 – 4,420.09 USD |
| S&P 500 Index INDEX_SP500 | Positive | Positive trend | Moderate | 38e | 44e | Bull Bear 29.3% · Base 22.7% · Bull 48.0% | 92% | 7,213.07 – 7,835.86 USD |
| EUR / USD — US Dollar FX_EURUSD | Neutral | Range | Low | 5e | 9e | Central Bear 31.6% · Base 36.5% · Bull 32.0% | 93% | 1.11 – 1.15 USD |