01
Plain-language reading
Understand the situation before the technical details
What is happening now
Observed from current data
The price is not showing a clear direction now
The price is moving inside a range rather than following a strong trend.
Trend Neutral
Regime Range
Risk High
Volatility +0.4%
What MacroWatch estimates next
90 days
The balance currently leans upward
Over the selected period, the model currently gives more weight to an upward move than to a downward move. Risk is high, which means the result can change quickly and the possible range is wide. The signals agree reasonably well, but this remains a probability, not a certainty.
Probable range
142.93 — 309.77 USD
Confidence
77%
See why MacroWatch reached this view ↓
How should a non-specialist read this?
A positive outlook does not mean “buy”, and a cautious outlook does not mean “sell”. It means the current data gives one direction more weight than the other. Open the details to see the risks, uncertainty and factors behind it.
02
Probabilistic analysis
Forecast details, probabilities and uncertainty
Expected range
142.93 — 309.77
USD · 90 days
142.93
213.73
309.77
Adverse scenario
29%
142.93 — 180.18
Central scenario
19%
180.18 — 247.28
Favourable scenario
52%
247.28 — 309.77
03
Market history
Price, range and source data
Chart
Table
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
Change
Volume
2026-07-31
198.44
202.00
194.95
200.75
—
139,961,152
2026-07-30
193.45
197.25
191.52
195.04
-2.84%
129,010,151
2026-07-29
195.85
197.07
190.01
190.01
-2.58%
147,680,809
2026-07-28
195.00
198.70
192.74
197.01
+3.68%
134,111,494
2026-07-27
208.20
208.75
195.44
196.51
-0.25%
154,353,698
2026-07-24
207.45
211.91
204.81
206.84
+5.26%
114,836,805
2026-07-23
209.46
210.87
205.96
208.76
+0.93%
110,505,328
2026-07-22
205.81
214.39
204.95
212.06
+1.58%
137,645,596
2026-07-21
207.54
208.65
204.01
207.29
-2.25%
108,685,563
2026-07-20
205.87
207.74
202.28
203.28
-1.93%
88,701,540
2026-07-17
202.64
206.65
197.97
202.81
-0.23%
144,281,910
2026-07-16
210.17
211.08
205.85
207.40
+2.26%
122,986,074
2026-07-15
211.96
213.81
206.04
212.50
+2.46%
124,797,151
2026-07-14
208.20
212.55
203.80
211.80
-0.33%
124,379,646
2026-07-13
208.54
210.57
203.00
203.53
-3.90%
121,411,018
2026-07-10
202.00
211.00
201.92
210.96
+3.65%
148,421,001
2026-07-09
204.46
204.59
198.96
202.78
-3.88%
132,037,359
2026-07-08
195.18
205.16
195.06
204.12
+0.66%
147,419,133
2026-07-07
192.37
198.41
191.14
196.93
-3.52%
124,154,574
2026-07-06
194.42
197.55
193.99
195.55
-0.70%
108,999,015
2026-07-02
197.14
200.06
192.35
194.83
-0.37%
142,385,548
2026-07-01
196.20
199.85
193.45
197.58
+1.41%
146,147,597
2026-06-30
197.24
200.63
195.11
200.09
+1.27%
166,476,665
2026-06-29
193.85
196.18
189.80
194.97
-2.56%
148,835,724
2026-06-26
193.12
195.55
191.22
192.53
-1.25%
179,304,147
2026-06-25
200.08
200.80
192.13
195.74
+1.67%
150,205,647
2026-06-24
200.12
201.67
196.58
199.00
+1.67%
151,810,704
2026-06-23
202.17
203.77
200.00
200.04
+0.52%
153,496,196
2026-06-22
211.44
213.99
207.72
208.65
+4.30%
122,041,419
2026-06-18
207.33
211.39
206.50
210.69
+0.98%
241,272,013
2026-06-17
208.53
209.21
203.08
204.65
-2.87%
128,363,473
2026-06-16
211.18
211.49
207.29
207.41
+1.35%
125,694,100
2026-06-15
208.92
212.71
208.34
212.45
+2.43%
149,936,688
2026-06-12
204.86
207.07
203.44
205.19
-3.42%
112,345,314
2026-06-11
201.49
205.66
199.54
204.87
-0.16%
158,643,204
2026-06-10
204.43
207.22
199.92
200.42
-2.17%
161,746,587
2026-06-09
210.62
211.40
199.34
208.19
+3.88%
180,962,450
2026-06-08
210.18
210.47
206.00
208.64
+0.22%
138,372,837
2026-06-05
214.53
214.87
204.33
205.10
-1.70%
219,655,531
2026-06-04
213.91
221.60
210.97
218.66
+6.61%
169,022,152
04
Explainability
Why the model sees this scenario
Macroeconomic context
India: Unemployment rate
2025-01-01
+0.3
Federal Funds Effective Rate
2026-09-01
+0.2
China: IMF real GDP growth outlook
2031-01-01
-0.1
Japan: IMF inflation outlook
2031-01-01
0.0
Company fundamentals
Annual revenue growth
+1.8
Annual revenue growth
+1.8
Annual revenue growth
+1.8
Annual revenue growth
+1.8
Annual revenue growth
+1.8
Annual revenue growth
+1.8
Annual revenue growth
+1.8
Annual revenue growth
+1.8
Annual revenue growth
+1.8
Annual revenue growth
+1.8
Annual revenue growth
+1.8
Annual revenue growth
+1.8
View technical methodology
Model MacroWatch Distribution & Regime Model v1.7.0
Sample size 99
Annualized volatility +0.4%
Maximum drawdown -0.2%
Daily VaR 95% 0.0%
Expected shortfall 95% -0.1%
Directional accuracy —
Interval coverage —
05
Connected intelligence
What affects this entity — and what it can affect
06
Intelligence
Recent events and intelligence
Probabilistic research output based on historical data. It is not investment advice, a promise of performance or a trading instruction.