01
Plain-language reading
Understand the situation before the technical details
What is happening now
Observed from current data
The recent movement is currently positive
Movements are unusually large and can change quickly.
Trend Positive
Regime High volatility
Risk Very high
Volatility +0.4%
What MacroWatch estimates next
90 days
The balance currently leans upward
Over the selected period, the model currently gives more weight to an upward move than to a downward move. Risk is high, which means the result can change quickly and the possible range is wide. The signals agree reasonably well, but this remains a probability, not a certainty.
Probable range
58.88 — 152.90 USD
Confidence
90%
See why MacroWatch reached this view ↓
How should a non-specialist read this?
A positive outlook does not mean “buy”, and a cautious outlook does not mean “sell”. It means the current data gives one direction more weight than the other. Open the details to see the risks, uncertainty and factors behind it.
02
Probabilistic analysis
Forecast details, probabilities and uncertainty
Expected range
58.88 — 152.90
USD · 90 days
58.88
97.29
152.90
Adverse scenario
35%
58.88 — 78.73
Central scenario
18%
78.73 — 115.84
Favourable scenario
47%
115.84 — 152.90
03
Market history
Price, range and source data
Chart
Table
Date
Open
High
Low
Close
Change
Volume
2026-07-27
—
—
—
91.82
—
—
2026-07-24
—
—
—
100.31
+9.25%
—
2026-07-23
—
—
—
105.32
+4.99%
—
2026-07-22
—
—
—
94.12
-10.63%
—
2026-07-21
—
—
—
93.85
-0.29%
—
2026-07-20
—
—
—
86.99
-7.31%
—
2026-07-17
—
—
—
85.01
-2.28%
—
2026-07-16
—
—
—
81.23
-4.45%
—
2026-07-15
—
—
—
83.08
+2.28%
—
2026-07-14
—
—
—
83.69
+0.73%
—
2026-07-13
—
—
—
81.62
-2.47%
—
2026-07-10
—
—
—
74.34
-8.92%
—
2026-07-09
—
—
—
74.46
+0.16%
—
2026-07-08
—
—
—
76.50
+2.74%
—
2026-07-07
—
—
—
71.78
-6.17%
—
2026-07-06
—
—
—
69.56
-3.09%
—
2026-07-03
—
—
—
68.68
-1.27%
—
2026-07-02
—
—
—
68.53
-0.22%
—
2026-07-01
—
—
—
69.24
+1.04%
—
2026-06-30
—
—
—
70.46
+1.76%
—
2026-06-29
—
—
—
71.59
+1.60%
—
2026-06-26
—
—
—
70.16
-2.00%
—
2026-06-25
—
—
—
73.74
+5.10%
—
2026-06-24
—
—
—
72.09
-2.24%
—
2026-06-23
—
—
—
75.69
+4.99%
—
2026-06-22
—
—
—
76.49
+1.06%
—
2026-06-19
—
—
—
80.46
+5.19%
—
2026-06-18
—
—
—
79.35
-1.38%
—
2026-06-17
—
—
—
80.33
+1.24%
—
2026-06-16
—
—
—
80.50
+0.21%
—
2026-06-15
—
—
—
84.36
+4.80%
—
2026-06-12
—
—
—
88.64
+5.07%
—
2026-06-11
—
—
—
92.84
+4.74%
—
2026-06-10
—
—
—
95.73
+3.11%
—
2026-06-09
—
—
—
94.15
-1.65%
—
2026-06-08
—
—
—
97.46
+3.52%
—
2026-06-05
—
—
—
97.29
-0.17%
—
2026-06-04
—
—
—
98.98
+1.74%
—
2026-06-03
—
—
—
101.69
+2.74%
—
2026-06-02
—
—
—
98.49
-3.15%
—
04
Explainability
Why the model sees this scenario
Macroeconomic context
China: IMF real GDP growth outlook
2031-01-01
0.0
Company fundamentals
The structure is active and will fill progressively as validated sources become available.
View technical methodology
Model MacroWatch Distribution & Regime Model v1.7.0
Sample size 563
Annualized volatility +0.4%
Maximum drawdown -0.5%
Daily VaR 95% 0.0%
Expected shortfall 95% -0.1%
Directional accuracy —
Interval coverage —
05
Connected intelligence
What affects this entity — and what it can affect
06
Intelligence
Recent events and intelligence
No recent intelligence has been linked to this asset.
Probabilistic research output based on historical data. It is not investment advice, a promise of performance or a trading instruction.